Final estimate up from 1.6% second estimate; consumer spending +0.5%

June employment report due July 2. Up from 4.1% year-ago.

Job gains led by leisure and healthcare; offset by decline in financial activities

Job vacancies per unemployed worker at 1.25x; down from 2.0x peak in 2022

Average Hourly Earnings YoY; moderated slightly from 3.6% in April

Consumer spending resilient despite weak sentiment readings

Percentage of disposable income saved; well below the 8.9% pre-pandemic average

Percentage of credit card balances in default; highest rate since 2011

Sharpest monthly decline since 2023; elevated financing costs a drag

20-city composite YoY; prices remain supported by historically low inventory

Up from 44.8 in May; remains deeply depressed vs. 100-pt baseline

Energy prices up 23.5% YoY, primary driver of headline acceleration

Personal Consumption Expenditures index; preferred Fed gauge

Persistent underlying inflation; next PCE release July 30

Bounced back from months below 50; new orders and production lead

23rd consecutive month of sector expansion; prices index at multi-year highs

ICE BofA High Yield Option-Adjusted Spread; reflects strong corporate credit appetite

Trailing 12-month high-yield default rate; driven by telecom and retail defaults

Total cash & near-money deposits; contracting YoY for the first time since the 1930s